Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 2508.288550 2715.589497 2925.600763 3153.986587 3395.047264 3641.623081 3912.598838
2025-02-09 2159.861896 2467.036897 2789.953371 3153.553727 3550.385687 3969.191464 4443.430931
2025-02-16 1919.322626 2283.092432 2676.230701 3130.296584 3637.849581 4185.360369 4818.216230
2025-02-23 1771.560143 2180.062147 2631.768138 3164.369676 3771.191253 4437.157244 5219.308118
2025-03-02 1628.636777 2067.900460 2563.893069 3159.688886 3850.114444 4619.349767 5535.347683
2025-03-09 1536.906115 2006.312108 2546.179538 3205.217961 3980.094258 4854.516897 5907.893494
2025-03-16 1417.797084 1903.442861 2472.387439 3178.096759 4019.717146 4981.284076 6152.587217
2025-03-23 1362.090965 1872.808724 2480.525231 3244.441750 4166.236438 5230.130484 6537.836328
2025-03-30 1287.212458 1813.464667 2449.636973 3260.081884 4249.488271 5402.872117 6833.153438
2025-04-06 1213.159400 1750.663779 2410.572217 3262.215050 4313.620749 5550.989143 7098.293972
2025-04-13 1102.499659 1635.002924 2300.293730 3171.387971 4260.201547 5555.026402 7188.982739
2025-04-20 1083.858803 1638.110568 2338.968520 3265.739097 4433.894521 5832.846451 7608.970894
2025-04-27 1050.364669 1620.699652 2351.399738 3327.965795 4569.971587 6068.493600 7983.313788
2025-05-04 992.401866 1567.522357 2315.270917 3326.524636 4625.443135 6205.502257 8238.736790
2025-05-11 929.791924 1504.700858 2263.583367 3302.361236 4650.060869 6302.983068 8444.947396
2025-05-18 894.630068 1478.244164 2258.627423 3337.781829 4749.662097 6493.186586 8765.722958
2025-05-25 846.961670 1431.636543 2224.465533 3332.916142 4796.173952 6616.311050 9003.306889
2025-06-01 821.130878 1415.108965 2230.167739 3380.240507 4909.831678 6823.975356 9347.008006
2025-06-08 770.856807 1360.364702 2181.065828 3352.050727 4923.475860 6904.148519 9530.627782
2025-06-15 756.219746 1357.740806 2203.955981 3421.005295 5064.702767 7147.038352 9920.071364
2025-06-22 725.339040 1329.114332 2188.995050 3437.258445 5135.644919 7299.949382 10196.252579
2025-06-29 691.838058 1294.882504 2164.693042 3439.475157 5187.081802 7427.421131 10440.298972
2025-07-06 631.274366 1215.618113 2072.833185 3345.077222 5106.536458 7382.233406 10462.296702